IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
High Point
Big South
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	-9.8	#314
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	65.4	#266
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-5.2	#312

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-4.6	#302

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	2.9%	6.5%	2.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.7	15.3	15.7

.500 or above	23.3%	52.4%	22.4%
.500 or above in Conference	36.1%	58.6%	35.4%
Conference Champion	2.3%	5.1%	2.2%
Last Place in Conference	9.3%	2.7%	9.5%

First Four	1.7%	2.9%	1.6%
First Round	2.0%	5.5%	1.9%
Second Round	0.0%	0.3%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Davidson (Away) - 3.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 3	1 - 5	1 - 7
Quad 4	9 - 10	10 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 25, 2020	81	@ Davidson	L	58-78	3%
Nov 28, 2020	215	@ Elon	L	64-73	20%
Dec 05, 2020	218	North Florida	L	74-77	40%
Dec 11, 2020	226	@ UNC Asheville	L	70-79	22%
Dec 12, 2020	226	@ UNC Asheville	L	70-79	23%
Dec 19, 2020	254	@ William & Mary	L	67-74	27%
Dec 22, 2020	211	@ Eastern Kentucky	L	72-81	21%
Dec 30, 2020	307	South Carolina Upstate	W	73-71	56%
Dec 31, 2020	307	South Carolina Upstate	W	73-71	56%
Jan 04, 2021	258	@ Campbell	L	64-71	28%
Jan 05, 2021	258	@ Campbell	L	64-71	28%
Jan 09, 2021	124	Winthrop	L	71-80	22%
Jan 10, 2021	124	Winthrop	L	71-80	22%
Jan 19, 2021	320	@ Longwood	L	66-68	43%
Jan 20, 2021	320	@ Longwood	L	66-68	43%
Jan 24, 2021	341	Presbyterian	W	73-64	78%
Jan 25, 2021	341	Presbyterian	W	73-64	78%
Jan 29, 2021	321	@ Hampton	L	74-76	44%
Jan 30, 2021	321	@ Hampton	L	74-76	43%
Feb 04, 2021	280	Charleston Southern	L	68-69	49%
Feb 05, 2021	280	Charleston Southern	L	68-69	49%
Feb 11, 2021	247	@ Gardner-Webb	L	65-72	27%
Feb 12, 2021	247	@ Gardner-Webb	L	65-72	27%
Feb 18, 2021	270	Radford	L	66-67	48%
Feb 19, 2021	270	Radford	L	66-67	49%
Projected Record						9 - 16	8 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big South Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.5	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0		2.3	1st
2nd												0.2	0.6	1.4	1.9	1.1	0.5	0.1	0.0				6.0	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.3	1.5	2.5	2.2	1.0	0.3	0.0						7.9	3rd
4th									0.0	0.4	2.1	3.6	2.4	0.9	0.1	0.0							9.5	4th
5th								0.1	0.5	2.8	4.3	2.7	0.6	0.1									11.0	5th
6th							0.1	0.8	3.4	4.7	2.4	0.4	0.0										11.8	6th
7th					0.0	0.2	1.0	3.7	5.0	2.3	0.3	0.0											12.6	7th
8th				0.0	0.1	1.5	3.8	4.8	2.1	0.2	0.0												12.7	8th
9th			0.0	0.4	1.8	3.7	3.6	1.5	0.3														11.3	9th
10th		0.0	0.6	2.1	3.2	2.3	0.8	0.1															9.2	10th
11th	0.2	0.9	1.8	1.6	0.8	0.3	0.0																5.7	11th

Total	0.2	0.9	2.4	4.1	6.0	8.1	9.4	11.0	11.2	10.5	9.5	8.5	6.1	4.7	3.4	1.9	1.0	0.6	0.2	0.1	0.0			Total

Big South Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1
18-2	83.1%	0.2		0.2	0.0
17-3	77.6%	0.4		0.3	0.1	0.0
16-4	51.1%	0.5		0.4	0.1	0.0
15-5	28.2%	0.5		0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0
14-6	10.4%	0.4		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0
13-7	2.3%	0.1		0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.0
12-8	0.2%	0.0			0.0		0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	2.3%	2.3		1.3	0.7	0.2	0.0		0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%																	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0
19-1	0.1%		68.2%	68.2%		14.2														0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0
18-2	0.2%		35.1%	35.1%		14.5														0.0	0.0	0.1		0.2
17-3	0.6%		32.3%	32.3%		15.3														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.4
16-4	1.0%		23.2%	23.2%		15.0														0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.8
15-5	1.9%		12.1%	12.1%		15.6															0.0	0.1	0.1	1.7
14-6	3.4%		13.0%	13.0%		15.8															0.0	0.1	0.3	3.0
13-7	4.7%		8.4%	8.4%		15.9																0.0	0.4	4.3
12-8	6.1%		4.8%	4.8%		16.0																0.0	0.3	5.8
11-9	8.5%		3.8%	3.8%		16.0																0.0	0.3	8.1
10-10	9.5%		3.2%	3.2%		16.0																0.0	0.3	9.2
9-11	10.5%		1.8%	1.8%		16.0																	0.2	10.3
8-12	11.2%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	11.2
7-13	11.0%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	11.0
6-14	9.4%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	9.3
5-15	8.1%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	8.1
4-16	6.0%																							6.0
3-17	4.1%																							4.1
2-18	2.4%																							2.4
1-19	0.9%																							0.9
0-20	0.2%																							0.2

Total	100%		2.9%	2.9%	0.0%	15.7												0.0		0.0	0.1	0.5	2.2	97.1		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.2%